SHARE ON: |
| |
| |
 |
 |
|
|
The Liberals and Conservatives are in a two-way race for the homestretch of the election campaign, according to new polling data from Nanos Research.
In the latest nightly tracking data, conducted for CTV News and the Globe and Mail and released Wednesday, the Liberals have been trending down since Friday and now sit at 30.5 per cent support. Factoring in the polling’s margin of error, that places the party in a statistical tie with the Conservatives at 31.2 per cent support.
The Conservatives have seen a slight increase in support in recent days with their polling numbers inching up since Sunday.
The frontrunners are trailed by the NDP with 21.4 per cent, which is a bump from the night before when were at 18.9 per cent support.
In the bottom group, the People’s Party of Canada lead with 6.8 per cent, followed by the Bloc Quebecois with 6.2 per cent, and the Green Party at 3.7 per cent.
When it comes to who Canadians prefer for their next prime minister, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole remain tied.
According to the polling data, Trudeau received 29.4 per cent support while O’Toole has 29.1 per cent. Factoring in the margin of error, that puts the two party leaders in a statistical tie.
It’s a marked improvement for O’Toole, who just over a month ago, on Aug. 13, was trailing Trudeau by 20 points in the nightly tracking data with 18 per cent support compared to the Liberal leader’s 36 per cent.
The NDP’s Jagmeet Singh ranked third on the preferred prime minister front with 20.5 per cent, followed by People’s Party of Canada Leader Maxime Bernier, Bloc Quebecois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet, and Green Party Leader Annamie Paul.
Of those Canadians surveyed, 9.2 per cent responded that they were unsure about who they would prefer for prime minister.
METHODOLOGY
A national random telephone survey (land-and cell-line sample using live agents) of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three-day period. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2016 Canadian Census administered by Statistics Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
|
 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
 |
11 am |
| -2 ℃ |
| SCATTERED CLOUDS |
WIND: WNW 11 KM/H
GUSTING TO 26 KM/H |
|
|
|
12 pm |
| -2 ℃ |
| SCATTERED CLOUDS |
WIND: W 9 KM/H
GUSTING TO 22 KM/H |
|
|
|
1 pm |
| -2 ℃ |
| SCATTERED CLOUDS |
WIND: W 12 KM/H
GUSTING TO 31 KM/H |
|
|
|
2 pm |
| -1 ℃ |
| SCATTERED CLOUDS |
WIND: W 14 KM/H
GUSTING TO 38 KM/H |
|
|
 |
3 pm |
| 0 ℃ |
| BROKEN CLOUDS |
WIND: W 14 KM/H
GUSTING TO 38 KM/H |
|
|
|
4 pm |
| 0 ℃ |
| BROKEN CLOUDS |
WIND: WSW 10 KM/H
GUSTING TO 23 KM/H |
|
|
|
5 pm |
| 1 ℃ |
| BROKEN CLOUDS |
WIND: WSW 7 KM/H
GUSTING TO 9 KM/H |
|
|
 |
6 pm |
| -1 ℃ |
| BROKEN CLOUDS |
WIND: SW 7 KM/H
GUSTING TO 11 KM/H |
|
|
|
|
TODAY |
HIGH OF 1 ℃
LOW OF -4 ℃ |
| SCATTERED CLOUDS |
|
|
|
MONDAY |
HIGH OF 2 ℃
LOW OF -9 ℃ |
| OVERCAST CLOUDS |
|
|
|
TUESDAY |
HIGH OF 3 ℃
LOW OF -4 ℃ |
| OVERCAST CLOUDS |
|
|
|
WEDNESDAY |
HIGH OF -2 ℃
LOW OF -8 ℃ |
| BROKEN CLOUDS |
|
|
 |
THURSDAY |
HIGH OF 2 ℃
LOW OF -2 ℃ |
| LIGHT SNOW |
|
|
|
FRIDAY |
HIGH OF -3 ℃
LOW OF -17 ℃ |
| LIGHT SNOW |
|
|
|
SATURDAY |
HIGH OF -8 ℃
LOW OF -15 ℃ |
| OVERCAST CLOUDS |
|
|
|
SUNDAY |
HIGH OF -4 ℃
LOW OF -15 ℃ |
| LIGHT SNOW |
|
|
|
|
|
 |
 |
|
| Namecheap New Year Sale – Start 2026 Online Strong! |
| |
| Ring in 2026 with Namecheap! Save on domains, hosting, and online tools to kick off the year with a strong digital presence. |
| |
| New Year deals won’t last—shop Namecheap now! |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
 |
 |
ERIN KINSEY
WILD
11:53 AM |
|
 |
CASSADEE POPE
I DIED
11:51 AM |
|
 |
POST MALONE
GUY FOR THAT
11:48 AM |
|
 |
MACKENZIE PORTER
EASY TO MISS
11:42 AM |
|
 |
ASHLEY MCBRYDE
LIVIN NEXT TO LEROY
11:38 AM |
|
 |
COLBIE CAILLAT
OLD AND NEW
11:32 AM |
|
 |
COLE SWINDELL
SAD ASS COUNTRY SONG
11:29 AM |
|
 |
BLAKE SHELTON
LET HIM IN ANYWAY
11:26 AM |
|
 |
AJ MCLEAN
BOY AND A MAN
11:23 AM |
|
 |
BRANDON DAVIS
FAKE IT TIL I MAKE IT
11:20 AM |
|
|
